Gold Performance in Recessions

Gold Performance in Recessions

by | Jan 13, 2023 | Blogs

If you are like many people in this country, you are feeling are skeptical about the economy and concerned that we will soon slip into a recession. Many experts agree.

A recent article in the Wall Street Journal reports that “more than two-thirds of the economists at 23 large financial institutions that do business directly with the Federal Reserve are betting the U.S. will have a recession in 2023. Two others are predicting a recession in 2024.

Glum predictions, no doubt. We can’t say for sure if these economists will be proven prescient, but we can examine past recessions and see how gold had performed compared to the broad U.S. stock market. It turns out that during times of economic contraction, gold out-performs the stock market and therefore, gold can help secure your wealth during recessions. Let’s look at the data.

During recessions occurring since the 1973-1975 cycle, the average price change in Gold was + 13.5%, compared to – 12.6% price change for the S&P 500.

That is a massive difference in returns and a good reason to look into an investment in gold for your portfolio.

 

The chart above shows the price performance of Gold and the S&P500 stock index for recessions dating back to 1973. In five out of the seven recessions, Gold outperformed stocks, and often by a wide margin.It is impossible to predict if the U.S will fall into a recession in the coming months.

However, a combination of high inflation, inverted yield curves, undisciplined fiscal policies, and high taxes point to that inevitability. How prepared are you to weather the storm?

Please call (833) 511-GOLD with any questions.